Three things are happening simultaneously in the Minneapolis DoD supply chain, and all of them point at NIST SP 800-171.
DFARS 252.204-7012 is being enforced again. The clause has been in DoD contracts since 2017, requiring NIST SP 800-171 implementation and rapid incident reporting for CUI handlers. For years the enforcement teeth were limited. That changed with the False Claims Act cases: the 2022 Aerojet Rocketdyne settlement and the 2024 Penn State settlement both involved misrepresenting NIST SP 800-171 compliance under DFARS. The DOJ's Civil Cyber-Fraud Initiative has signaled that contractor cybersecurity misrepresentation is a sustained enforcement priority.
More primes now check a subcontractor's SPRS self-assessment before they flow down CUI work.
Primes are checking SPRS. Under DFARS 252.204-7019 and -7020 (in effect since November 2020), contractors must have a current Basic Assessment posted in SPRS to be eligible for a DoD contract that includes the DFARS 252.204-7012 clause. A contractor without a recent, defensible self-assessment can lose work.
CMMC raises the stakes. The CMMC program rule, in effect since December 2024, with the DFARS contract rule following in November 2025, doesn't change the 110 NIST SP 800-171 Rev 2 requirements. It changes who verifies compliance and how. The contractors who already have a clean, defensible NIST SP 800-171 program in place are positioned to certify. The contractors with an old self-assessment nobody can back up with evidence are not.